Demand Forecast

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Tapis de jeu double face pour bébé, épais, antidérapant, motif aléatoire, pliable, 180 x150 cm
SKU · AABCP38948

Tapis de jeu double face pour bébé, épais, antidérapant, motif aléatoire, pliable, 180 x150 cm

longtail 3P MATERIEL EVEIL BEBE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

10
▲ 25.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

54
≈ 25.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 160
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AABCP38948

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Tapis de jeu double face pour bébé, épais, antidérapant, motif aléatoire, pliable, 180 x150 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +25.0% · on-hand 54 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (322 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)23.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)67.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 10.9K