Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABCP12474
Bol en porcelaine - AYA HOME - 13cm - Imprimé - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Haute qualité
midtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
20
≈ 4.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AABCP12474
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 236 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bol en porcelaine - AYA HOME - 13cm - Imprimé - Compatible lave-vaisselle - Haute qualité · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (196 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 46.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 236.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.3K |