Demand Forecast

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VICHY PACK CAPITAL SOLEIL SPF50 CREME ONCTUEUSE PEAU SENSIBLE NORMAL A SECHE TEXTURE INVISIBLE + VICHY MINERAL 89 10ML OFFERT
SKU · AABCF00667

VICHY PACK CAPITAL SOLEIL SPF50 CREME ONCTUEUSE PEAU SENSIBLE NORMAL A SECHE TEXTURE INVISIBLE + VICHY MINERAL 89 10ML OFFERT

longtail 1P SOLAIRES
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

13
▲ 44.4% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

2
≈ 1.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05

Unit price

MAD 150
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-03

AABCF00667

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 80 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

VICHY PACK CAPITAL SOLEIL SPF50 CREME ONCTUEUSE PEAU SENSIBLE NORMAL A SECHE TEXTURE INVISIBLE + VICHY MINERAL 89 10ML OFFERT · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +44.4% · on-hand 2 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (280 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week3.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks12.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months40.8 units
Optimistic — next week5.4 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)23.1 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)80.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 12.0K