Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABAV70916
Écouteur + micro I Lightning MF109385 Citytek
longtail
1P + 3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 900.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
90
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
13
≈ 7.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 6 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AABAV70916
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 196 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteur + micro I Lightning MF109385 Citytek · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +900.0% · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (42 days of history, 12 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 14.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 61.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 196.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.4K |