Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABAG21153
KRÖHLER - Machine à Laver Semi-Automatique KPB-3.0-SE – 3 Gg - Idéale pour Petits Espaces
hero
3P
LAVAGE-SECHAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▼ 17.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
57
≈ 5.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 388
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AABAG21153
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 211 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
KRÖHLER - Machine à Laver Semi-Automatique KPB-3.0-SE – 3 Gg - Idéale pour Petits Espaces · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending down -17.6% · on-hand 57 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 66.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 211.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 81.8K |