Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABAG16760
Barbecue / table BQ324AA 2200W Denwa
longtail
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 199
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-06-01
AABAG16760
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Barbecue / table BQ324AA 2200W Denwa · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, 29 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.35 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.4K |