Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AABAF04076
TCL - 32S5K – Smart Google TV 32" (81cm) QLED Full HD - Dolby Audio & HDR
longtail
3P
TELEVISEUR
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
59
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 1.4K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-19
AABAF04076
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 126 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TCL - 32S5K – Smart Google TV 32" (81cm) QLED Full HD - Dolby Audio & HDR · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 63 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (427 days of history, 147 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 39.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 125.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 178.5K |