Demand Forecast

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KIKO MAKEUP SET Box kiko milano Kit De Maquillage : Rouge À Lèvres, Ombre À Paupières Et Crayon Yeux
SKU · AABAA08425

KIKO MAKEUP SET Box kiko milano Kit De Maquillage : Rouge À Lèvres, Ombre À Paupières Et Crayon Yeux

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 90.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 313
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AABAA08425

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

KIKO MAKEUP SET Box kiko milano Kit De Maquillage : Rouge À Lèvres, Ombre À Paupières Et Crayon Yeux · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -90.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.46 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 10 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks6.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months18.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)19.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)58.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 18.2K