Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAZR90635
L’Oréal Paris Elseve – Offre Capillaire – Pré-Shampooing Bond Repair 200ml + Shampooing 200ml = 200ml Shampooing Offert
hero
1P
CAPILLAIRE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 203
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-19
AAAZR90635
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 288 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
L’Oréal Paris Elseve – Offre Capillaire – Pré-Shampooing Bond Repair 200ml + Shampooing 200ml = 200ml Shampooing Offert · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (336 days of history, 459 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.04 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 96.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 288.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 58.5K |