Demand Forecast

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Blush Magic – Gelée Rebondissante à Teinte Rose Unique Longue Durée
SKU · AAAZP23913

Blush Magic – Gelée Rebondissante à Teinte Rose Unique Longue Durée

midtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

12
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

36
≈ 5.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 28
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAZP23913

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 262 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Blush Magic – Gelée Rebondissante à Teinte Rose Unique Longue Durée · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 36 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 32 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week4.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks23.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months65.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week14.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)79.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)262.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)5.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 7.3K