Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAYK82384
Brosse à Air Chaud 5 en 1 – Sèche-Cheveux, Lisseur et Coiffage Professionnel
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
77
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 121
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAYK82384
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 86 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Brosse à Air Chaud 5 en 1 – Sèche-Cheveux, Lisseur et Coiffage Professionnel · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +16.7% · on-hand 77 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (266 days of history, 73 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 86.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.4K |