Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAXT01795
Pichet isotherme - AYA HOME - Blanc - 300ML - Design torsadé - Conserve chaleur/froid
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-07-25
AAAXT01795
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 36 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pichet isotherme - AYA HOME - Blanc - 300ML - Design torsadé - Conserve chaleur/froid · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (315 days of history, 20 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 35.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |