Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAXG46850
Sèche-cheveux - KRÖHLER - Pliable - 2200W - Diffuseur inclus - 2 vitesses et températures
hero
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▼ 46.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
44
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 172
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAAXG46850
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 671 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sèche-cheveux - KRÖHLER - Pliable - 2200W - Diffuseur inclus - 2 vitesses et températures · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending down -46.2% · on-hand 47 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (434 days of history, 825 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 39 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 223.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 28.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 85.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 670.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 12.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 115.2K |