Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAXG46850
Sèche-cheveux - KRÖHLER - Pliable - 2200W - Diffuseur inclus - 2 vitesses et températures
hero
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
23
▼ 39.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
95
≈ 6.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 179
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAXG46850
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 279 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sèche-cheveux - KRÖHLER - Pliable - 2200W - Diffuseur inclus - 2 vitesses et températures · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 23 units, trending down -39.5% · on-hand 95 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (315 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 23 units · prev 4w = 38 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 35.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 94.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 95.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 279.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 49.8K |