Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAXG46850
Sèche-cheveux - KRÖHLER - Pliable - 2200W - Diffuseur inclus - 2 vitesses et températures
hero
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
32
▼ 15.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
123
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 175
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAXG46850
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 395 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sèche-cheveux - KRÖHLER - Pliable - 2200W - Diffuseur inclus - 2 vitesses et températures · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 32 units, trending down -15.8% · on-hand 123 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (371 days of history, 805 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 32 units · prev 4w = 38 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 13.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 54.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 216.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 83.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 395.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 11.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 69.1K |