Demand Forecast

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PARTAGEZ CE PRODUIT Boutique Officielle Garnier Ultra Doux Shampoing Avocat Karite pour cheveux secs, frisés 200ml
SKU · AAAXD12809

PARTAGEZ CE PRODUIT Boutique Officielle Garnier Ultra Doux Shampoing Avocat Karite pour cheveux secs, frisés 200ml

longtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

79
Σ Stock across 8 live offers

1P stock

0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot

Unit price

MAD 25
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAAXD12809

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

PARTAGEZ CE PRODUIT Boutique Officielle Garnier Ultra Doux Shampoing Avocat Karite pour cheveux secs, frisés 200ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 79 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (350 days of history, 54 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 18 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week2.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks8.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months25.2 units
Optimistic — next week6.9 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.5 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)75.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.9
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.9K