Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAWZ48234
Boîte à œufs double couche 14-16 œufs – plastique alimentaire, couvercle transparent, durable, empilable, rangement frigo pratique
longtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
6
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
12
≈ 5.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 57
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAWZ48234
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 124 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte à œufs double couche 14-16 œufs – plastique alimentaire, couvercle transparent, durable, empilable, rangement frigo pratique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, stable demand · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (329 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 35.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 123.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |