Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAWL83354
Sac de plage isotherme - GN - 34x17,5x30 cm - Bleu - Léger - Résistant
longtail
1P + 3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 22.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
110
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
2
≈ 2.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 67
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAWL83354
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac de plage isotherme - GN - 34x17,5x30 cm - Bleu - Léger - Résistant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +22.2% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (378 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 36.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.1K |