Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAWH14132
Verres à thé - GENERIC - Réf. 45033 - 6 pièces - Verre à pied - Effet cristal
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
43
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
19
≈ 133.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 47
avg of last 5 sells · latest 2026-10-13
AAAWH14132
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-11-02 · Total forecast: 90 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres à thé - GENERIC - Réf. 45033 - 6 pièces - Verre à pied - Effet cristal · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 19 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (238 days of history, 5 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.00 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 89.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.3K |