Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAWD94782
HTC AT-1211 – Kit de Toilettage 4 en 1 pour Hommes | Design de Luxe
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
13
≈ 5.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 130
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAWD94782
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 118 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
HTC AT-1211 – Kit de Toilettage 4 en 1 pour Hommes | Design de Luxe · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (336 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.80 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 41.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 117.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.3K |