Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAVC43731
Taous (savon liquide x2 anti-bactérien + lait amande 470 ml)
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 98.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 12 sells · latest 2026-07-15
AAAVC43731
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 509 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Taous (savon liquide x2 anti-bactérien + lait amande 470 ml) · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -98.8% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (252 days of history, 126 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.58 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 82 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 34.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 173.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 20.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 86.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 508.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.1K |