Demand Forecast

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Lampe de poche LED - KIMO FINDS - 1W - 600 LM - Éclairage Jaune - Rechargeable USB
SKU · AAAVC13142

Lampe de poche LED - KIMO FINDS - 1W - 600 LM - Éclairage Jaune - Rechargeable USB

longtail 3P CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

50
≈ 25.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-25

AAAVC13142

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 185 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Lampe de poche LED - KIMO FINDS - 1W - 600 LM - Éclairage Jaune - Rechargeable USB · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 50 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (315 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week7.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks25.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months55.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week20.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)77.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)184.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)4.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.0K