Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Lampe Solaire - KIMO FINDS - Pack de 4 pcs - Éclairage Jaune - Écologique - LED  KIT PHOT
SKU · AAAVC12819

Lampe Solaire - KIMO FINDS - Pack de 4 pcs - Éclairage Jaune - Écologique - LED KIT PHOT

longtail 3P GENIE THERMIQUE - CLIMATIQUE - CHAUFFAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

43
≈ 16.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 52
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAAVC12819

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Lampe Solaire - KIMO FINDS - Pack de 4 pcs - Éclairage Jaune - Écologique - LED KIT PHOT · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 43 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (322 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.61 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months35.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)31.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)121.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.4K