Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAVC12263
Caméra de voiture Triple cam avec Vision nocturne IR 2 Canaux - Enregistreur 1080P Capteur HD Avant/Arrière + Mode Stationnement
longtail
3P
AIDE A LA CONDUITE - SECURITE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 304
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29
AAAVC12263
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 105 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Caméra de voiture Triple cam avec Vision nocturne IR 2 Canaux - Enregistreur 1080P Capteur HD Avant/Arrière + Mode Stationnement · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (350 days of history, 102 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.35 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 21.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 104.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 31.9K |