Demand Forecast

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Crème au Rétinol - Anti-Âge - 50ML - Réduit les rides - Améliore le teint - Non comédogène
SKU · AAAUM64974

Crème au Rétinol - Anti-Âge - 50ML - Réduit les rides - Améliore le teint - Non comédogène

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

9
▼ 52.6% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

894
≈ 306.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 37
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAAUM64974

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 125 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Crème au Rétinol - Anti-Âge - 50ML - Réduit les rides - Améliore le teint - Non comédogène · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -52.6% · on-hand 894 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 19 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months35.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)37.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)125.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 4.6K