Demand Forecast

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MAYBELLINE NEW YORK - KIT LIFTER GLOSS N°5 + LIFTER LINER N°9
SKU · AAAUL40666

MAYBELLINE NEW YORK - KIT LIFTER GLOSS N°5 + LIFTER LINER N°9

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

35
≈ 31.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 131
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-21

AAAUL40666

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 102 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

MAYBELLINE NEW YORK - KIT LIFTER GLOSS N°5 + LIFTER LINER N°9 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 35 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (329 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks6.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months22.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)24.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)101.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 13.3K