Demand Forecast

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Huile Essentielle de Jasmin de damas Essence fragrance 100% naturelle 10ml
SKU · AAATZ00822

Huile Essentielle de Jasmin de damas Essence fragrance 100% naturelle 10ml

longtail 3P PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

8
▲ 14.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

189
≈ 70.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAATZ00822

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 133 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Huile Essentielle de Jasmin de damas Essence fragrance 100% naturelle 10ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +14.3% · on-hand 189 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (329 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.07 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months28.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)32.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)132.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.5K