Demand Forecast

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Baume à lèvres - LABELLO - Caring Beauty - Rose - 3-en-1 - SPF30 - 4.8g
SKU · AAATV46106

Baume à lèvres - LABELLO - Caring Beauty - Rose - 3-en-1 - SPF30 - 4.8g

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

8
≈ 2.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 24
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAATV46106

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 115 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Baume à lèvres - LABELLO - Caring Beauty - Rose - 3-en-1 - SPF30 - 4.8g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (308 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months28.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)33.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)114.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.8K