Demand Forecast

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Gel Douche Pure Impact For Men - 250ml
SKU · AAATB72301

Gel Douche Pure Impact For Men - 250ml

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

56
Σ Stock across 3 live offers

1P stock

17
≈ 16.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot

Unit price

MAD 24
avg of last 21 sells · latest 2026-04-15

AAATB72301

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gel Douche Pure Impact For Men - 250ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 17 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks4.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months15.4 units
Optimistic — next week6.3 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)19.3 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)66.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.6K