Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAST58058
Support de couvercle de casserole en bambou .proximité de la cuisine, assiette, séchage, étagère de rangement-1 pièce
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
40
≈ 28.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAST58058
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support de couvercle de casserole en bambou .proximité de la cuisine, assiette, séchage, étagère de rangement-1 pièce · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 40 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (378 days of history, 77 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 23.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |