Demand Forecast

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Bicarbonate de soude pur multi-usages – Qualité alimentaire et hygiène, format économique 1,2 kg
SKU · AAAST58047

Bicarbonate de soude pur multi-usages – Qualité alimentaire et hygiène, format économique 1,2 kg

longtail 3P PRODUIT D'ENTRETIEN
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 55.6% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

40
≈ 16.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 37
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAAST58047

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 116 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Bicarbonate de soude pur multi-usages – Qualité alimentaire et hygiène, format économique 1,2 kg · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -55.6% · on-hand 40 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 124 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months30.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)116.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 4.3K