Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASR21177
Box TV - REVOLUTION - X197 - Android 14 - 4K Ultra HD - RAM 2Go - Stockage 16Go
longtail
3P
LECTEUR - ENREGISTREUR VIDEO
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▲ 180.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
3
≈ 1.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 261
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAASR21177
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 116 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Box TV - REVOLUTION - X197 - Android 14 - 4K Ultra HD - RAM 2Go - Stockage 16Go · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending up +180.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (350 days of history, 114 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 30.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 116.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.3K |