Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASR19408
HX NUTRITION Creatine Monohydrate Micronisee 300g (66 Servings) Marque: HX NUTRITION | Produits similaires par HX NUTRITION
longtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 176
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAASR19408
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
HX NUTRITION Creatine Monohydrate Micronisee 300g (66 Servings) Marque: HX NUTRITION | Produits similaires par HX NUTRITION · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (385 days of history, 63 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 58.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.3K |