Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASP62500
Ultra Oméga-3 -2000 mg ( 660 mg EPA - 440 mg DHA )
midtail
3P
PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Last 4 weeks demand
27
≈ stable (3.8% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
1
≈ 0.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 408
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAASP62500
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 131 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ultra Oméga-3 -2000 mg ( 660 mg EPA - 440 mg DHA ) · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 27 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (357 days of history, 177 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 27 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 18.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 47.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 47.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 130.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 53.3K |