Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASO97407
Protections hygiéniques - CAREFREE - Lot Carefree PS Large - 20 unités - 1+1 gratuit - Anti-fuites
hero
3P
HYGIENE INTIME
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 99.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
2,180
≈ 126.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAASO97407
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 351 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Protections hygiéniques - CAREFREE - Lot Carefree PS Large - 20 unités - 1+1 gratuit - Anti-fuites · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -99.2% · on-hand 2180 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (350 days of history, 882 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.93 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 396 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 17.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 44.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 28.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 126.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 351.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.7K |