Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASO97407
Protections hygiéniques - CAREFREE - Lot Carefree PS Large - 20 unités - 1+1 gratuit - Anti-fuites
hero
3P
HYGIENE INTIME
Last 4 weeks demand
461
▲ 1673.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
734
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAASO97407
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 698 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Protections hygiéniques - CAREFREE - Lot Carefree PS Large - 20 unités - 1+1 gratuit - Anti-fuites · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 461 units, trending up +1673.1% · on-hand 842 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (469 days of history, 1,363 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.08 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 461 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 204.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 71.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 698.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.3K |