Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASM69309
Lot de 3 : Gel Nettoyant éclaircissant 200ML, Crème anti-taches brunes 50ML et écran protection 50ML
hero
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
19
≈ stable (-5.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
998
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 119
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAASM69309
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 329 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 3 : Gel Nettoyant éclaircissant 200ML, Crème anti-taches brunes 50ML et écran protection 50ML · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, stable demand · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (427 days of history, 791 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.44 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 20 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 37.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 161.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 68.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 329.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 39.1K |