Demand Forecast

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Crème solaire - Photo White - Ecran Invisible - SPF 50+ - 50 ml - Hypoallergénique
SKU · AAASM41252

Crème solaire - Photo White - Ecran Invisible - SPF 50+ - 50 ml - Hypoallergénique

longtail 1P SOLAIRES OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▲ 133.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 166
avg of last 24 sells · latest 2026-05-02

AAASM41252

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 45 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Crème solaire - Photo White - Ecran Invisible - SPF 50+ - 50 ml - Hypoallergénique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +133.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (357 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months14.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week2.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)12.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)44.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 7.4K