Demand Forecast

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Capila Shampoing 200ml+ Lotion 125ml+ Serum 30ml Pack Anti-Chute
SKU · AAASM24749

Capila Shampoing 200ml+ Lotion 125ml+ Serum 30ml Pack Anti-Chute

hero 1P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

93
≈ 10.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 211
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-22

AAASM24749

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 212 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Capila Shampoing 200ml+ Lotion 125ml+ Serum 30ml Pack Anti-Chute · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 93 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (364 days of history, 451 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.83 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week3.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks16.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months52.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)60.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)211.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)4.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 44.6K