Demand Forecast

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Fluide Solaire - URIAGE - Hyseac - SPF50+ - Peaux Mixtes à Grasses - Gel Nettoyant OFFERT
SKU · AAASM23516

Fluide Solaire - URIAGE - Hyseac - SPF50+ - Peaux Mixtes à Grasses - Gel Nettoyant OFFERT

midtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▼ 65.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

26
≈ 7.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 164
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAASM23516

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 124 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Fluide Solaire - URIAGE - Hyseac - SPF50+ - Peaux Mixtes à Grasses - Gel Nettoyant OFFERT · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -65.0% · on-hand 26 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (343 days of history, 169 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.30 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 20 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks13.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months36.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)40.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)124.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 20.4K