Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASL87194
La Roche-Posay Cicaplast Baume Cicatrisant B5+ Peau Fragilisée | 100ml = Eau Thermale 50ml Offerte
hero
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 97.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 166
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-19
AAASL87194
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 509 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
La Roche-Posay Cicaplast Baume Cicatrisant B5+ Peau Fragilisée | 100ml = Eau Thermale 50ml Offerte · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -97.8% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (413 days of history, 694 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.11 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 182 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 49.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 178.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 21.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 143.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 508.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 84.4K |