Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASK86128
Ecouteur Bluetooth 5.3 M10 - Oreillette sans Fil 120h - Etui de Chargement IP7 Étanche HiFi Stéréo Imperméable
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
869
≈ 569.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAASK86128
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ecouteur Bluetooth 5.3 M10 - Oreillette sans Fil 120h - Etui de Chargement IP7 Étanche HiFi Stéréo Imperméable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 869 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (378 days of history, 81 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 26.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 110.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.8K |