Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASI61405
Hachoir électrique - SCHLEIZER - 1400W - 2L - 18 pièces - Bol inox et verre
hero
3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 23.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
15
≈ 1.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 219
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAASI61405
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 240 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Hachoir électrique - SCHLEIZER - 1400W - 2L - 18 pièces - Bol inox et verre · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -23.5% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (308 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 24.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 69.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 76.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 240.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 52.7K |