Demand Forecast

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Bande lumineuse Led Bluetooth 5050 RGB, 5M, 5V, USB, rétro-éclairage TV, décoration de salle, ruban Flexible à Diode Application
SKU · AAASG54392

Bande lumineuse Led Bluetooth 5050 RGB, 5M, 5V, USB, rétro-éclairage TV, décoration de salle, ruban Flexible à Diode Application

longtail 3P LUMINAIRE D'INTERIEUR
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 44.4% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

5
≈ 3.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 52
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAASG54392

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 60 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Bande lumineuse Led Bluetooth 5050 RGB, 5M, 5V, USB, rétro-éclairage TV, décoration de salle, ruban Flexible à Diode Application · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -44.4% · on-hand 5 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (371 days of history, 77 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months15.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)16.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)59.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.1K