Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASE58055
Torchon cuisine 45×71 cm 68g
midtail
1P
LINGE DE TABLE - CUISINE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAASE58055
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 159 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Torchon cuisine 45×71 cm 68g · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.09 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 40.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 59.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 159.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.9K |