Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAASE38021
3 boîtes de conservation 400ml / 1,4L / 1,8L S-00106
midtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
154
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
6
≈ 2.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 29
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAASE38021
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 156 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
3 boîtes de conservation 400ml / 1,4L / 1,8L S-00106 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (420 days of history, 178 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 59.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 155.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.5K |