Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARZ88869
Sac de pique-nique imprimé jaune CJ2673-1
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 166.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
42
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
2
≈ 2.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-06-30
Unit price
MAD 97
avg of last 9 sells · latest 2026-04-13
AAARZ88869
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac de pique-nique imprimé jaune CJ2673-1 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +166.7% · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (357 days of history, 18 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |