Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARZ75471
Lot de 3 Boîtes de Conservation Hermétiques en Verre avec Couvercles Antifuite – 500ml, 400ml, 300ml
longtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 105
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-29
AAARZ75471
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 3 Boîtes de Conservation Hermétiques en Verre avec Couvercles Antifuite – 500ml, 400ml, 300ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.69 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 31.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.4K |