Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAARV51898
Mop spray 115x38cm avec bouteille 500ml + manche en métal
longtail
3P
MATERIEL D'ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
15
≈ 19.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 79
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-03-24
AAARV51898
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 64 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mop spray 115x38cm avec bouteille 500ml + manche en métal · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.12 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 19.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 64.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.1K |