Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARV51897
Chaise PP empilable Solara gris M38 HDO0430
longtail
1P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
40
▲ 1900.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
18
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 299
avg of last 1 sells · latest 2025-06-19
AAARV51897
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise PP empilable Solara gris M38 HDO0430 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 40 units, trending up +1900.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.16 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 40 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |