Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAART11880
Seoul Glam huile nettoyante de riz - 100 ml
midtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 85.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
429
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
17
≈ 3.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 67
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAART11880
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 102 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Seoul Glam huile nettoyante de riz - 100 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +85.7% · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (504 days of history, 218 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 37.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 101.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.8K |