Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARP90833
Meuble de rangement - GENERIC - Lisa - 4 tiroirs - Plastique - Résine - Couleur Aléatoire
midtail
3P
PETIT MEUBLE COMPLEMENT
Last 4 weeks demand
23
▼ 32.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
4
≈ 1.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 74
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAARP90833
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Meuble de rangement - GENERIC - Lisa - 4 tiroirs - Plastique - Résine - Couleur Aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 23 units, trending down -32.4% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (378 days of history, 201 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 23 units · prev 4w = 34 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 22.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 55.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 52.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 146.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.9K |