Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAARO23514
Taie d'Oreiller - GENERIC - Ciel d'Orage - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Uni
longtail
3P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 166.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
44
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAARO23514
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Taie d'Oreiller - GENERIC - Ciel d'Orage - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Uni · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +166.7% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 47 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.12 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.6K |